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In a rational scientific discourse, those who had advocated extreme measures to prevent global warming would now be withdrawing and calmly rethinking their hypotheses.However, this is not a rational scientific discourse.From next month on, the Pause will probably shorten dramatically and may disappear altogether for a time.However, if there is a following la Niña, as there often is, the Pause may return at some time from the end of next year onward. One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution has occurred since February 1997.
As ever, the Technical Note explains the sources of the IPCC’s predictions in 1990 and in 2005, and also demonstrates that that according to the ARGO bathythermograph data the oceans are warming at a rate equivalent to less than a quarter of a Celsius degree per century.
With this month’s RSS (Remote Sensing Systems satellite) temperature record, the Pause beats last month’s record and now stands at 18 years 9 months.' As the faithful gather around their capering shamans in Paris for the New Superstition’s annual festival of worship, the Pause lengthens yet again.
One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution has occurred since February 1997.
Now, almost three years later, the Pause is almost three years longer.
It is worth understanding just how surprised the modelers ought to be by the persistence of the Pause.